Risk Assessment Delays Israeli Strike on Iran - Al Jazeera Center for Studies

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Risk Assessment Delays Israeli Strike on Iran

Tensions surrounding the Iranian nuclear program have risen again, but the main determinants of the issue remain largely the same as they had been before and are likely to reduce the chances of a war on Iran.

Al Jazeera Centre for Studies

Monday, 2 April 2012 12:09 GMT

Belligerent threats against Iran began to increase from the beginning of this year against a backdrop of conflicting reports on the Iranian nuclear programme. The Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), an agency of the United Nations (UN), issued a report in November 2011 which raised suspicions about the possibility that Iranian nuclear programme sites are being used for military purposes. Around the same time, US government sources said Iran was far from obtaining a nuclear weapon and that economic sanctions against Iran had been effective. Meanwhile, there was an escalation in Israeli threats against Iran, along with reports that the Zionist state had obtained weaponry capable of penetrating several metres of concrete, making capable of striking fortified underground sites.

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