The American-Saudi-Iranian Triangle

The high unlikelihood of the occurrence of an American attack on Iran soon will not prevent the next U.S. administration from using the accusation to justify a military strike on Iran which will be in favor of neither Iran nor Saudi Arabia.

This report aims to present the objectives of the American-Saudi accusation directed against Iran of allegedly conspiring to murder the Saudi ambassador to Washington D.C. and the potential effect of such on the turn that may be taken by the three parties in the upcoming stage. This will be done by placing the accusation in a broader context that encompasses American strategy in the Arab region during the reign of President Obama and Saudi and Iranian regional policies, in addition to the historical moment the Arab world is living in the backdrop of the eruption of unprecedented popular uprisings that have brought about the overthrow of three of the oldest Arab rulers [Ben Ali, Muabark and Gaddafi]. The proposed reading here of the American-Saudi accusation against Iran dismisses the possibility that it may be a pretext to an approaching military attack on Iran. In fact, it sees the accusation as a warning and punitive action.

This report is divided into two parts: the first part reviews broad outlines of the three countries' strategies in the Arab east while the second part addresses the significance of the timing in which the accusation was made and potential objectives of the accusation.