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Policy Briefs

Iran in the Israeli Calculus: What Comes Next?

20 July 2025

The Israeli-American war on Iran has not fully achieved its intended goals. While it may have caused significant damage to Iran’s nuclear facilities and gained relative advantage in armed confrontations, the underlying hostilities remain unresolved, escalating the risk of renewed military conflict.

The war on Iran: End of the battle is a prelude to the next round

1 July 2025

The dissolution of the PKK: Strengthening Turkey internally and externally

18 June 2025

Most Recent

The decentralization question: Implications of the Kurdish calculus for the Syrian state

19 May 2025

A seismic shift: Toward the integration of the SDF in Syrian institutions

20 March 2025

The new Syria: Major challenges of the transition

13 March 2025

The Sudanese army on the battlefield: Strategic context and possible trajectories

10 March 2025

The Fall of Assad: Sudden Victory, Complex Way Forward

19 December 2024

Ceasefire in Lebanon: Fragile deterrence, potential risks

8 December 2024

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Authors

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Madawi Al-Rasheed

Wang Jian

Shavkat Ikramov

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Dr. Allan J. Lichtman

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Professor Ali Abdullatif Ahmida

Misbah Allah Abdul Baqi

Moussa Nuseibeh

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Helen Lackner

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