Analyses
Escalation Without Exit: Strategic Disorientation and Potential Scenarios in the US–Israeli War on Iran
6 April 2026
More than a month into the US-Israeli war on Iran, early assumptions of rapid victory have unravelled. Strategic ambiguity, escalation dynamics and resilient Iranian responses point to a protracted conflict with regional spillovers, infrastructure targeting and rising global economic risks, with no clear end-state.
